Market
What will be the first major policy change announced by Kash Patel as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Kash Patel•Federal Bureau of Investigation•FBI•Christopher Wray•Patel•America First•Trump•Department of Defense•Truth Social•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Restructuring leadership • 25%
Focus on internal investigations • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official FBI announcements or major news outlets
Story
Trump Nominates Loyalist Kash Patel to Replace FBI Director Wray
Dec 1, 2024, 12:06 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Kash Patel, a former aide and loyalist, to serve as the next Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), replacing current Director Christopher Wray. Patel, known for his "America First" stance, previously served in key national security roles during Trump's first term, including as Chief of Staff at the Department of Defense. Trump announced the nomination on Truth Social, praising Patel as a brilliant lawyer, investigator, and "America First" fighter who has spent his career exposing corruption, defending justice, and protecting the American people. The appointment signals Trump's intent to upend the top U.S. law enforcement agency and address perceived internal conspiracies.
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Similar markets
Reforming internal investigation processes • 25%
Increasing counterintelligence efforts • 25%
Enhancing cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
More Politically Motivated • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Less Politically Motivated • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Increased cybersecurity efforts • 25%
Internal agency restructuring • 25%
Enhanced counterterrorism measures • 25%
No major reforms • 25%
Policy reforms • 25%
Structural reforms • 25%
Other reforms • 25%
Surveillance reforms • 25%
Internal restructuring • 25%
Other priorities • 25%
Accountability for Russiagate • 25%
Media and political figures • 25%
Internal FBI reforms • 25%
Counter-terrorism • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected by Senate • 25%
Nomination pending • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%