Market
What will be Kash Patel's first major policy change as FBI Director by December 31, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Federal Bureau of Investigation•Patel•Trump•Department of Defense•Devin Nunes•America First•American•FBI•Christopher Wray
Resolution / Starting Odds
Reforming internal investigation processes • 25%
Increasing counterintelligence efforts • 25%
Enhancing cybersecurity measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official FBI announcements or credible news reports
Story
Trump Appoints Loyalist Kash Patel as FBI Director, Aiming to Replace Wray
Dec 1, 2024, 12:20 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that Kashyap 'Kash' Patel will serve as the next Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Patel, a former national security official and Trump loyalist, has held key positions including Chief of Staff at the Department of Defense during Trump's first term and was a key investigator on Representative Devin Nunes' staff. Known as a critic of the 'deep state,' Patel has been involved in efforts to expose corruption within government agencies. In his announcement, Trump praised Patel as a 'brilliant lawyer, investigator, and "America First" fighter who has spent his career exposing corruption, defending Justice, and protecting the American people.' The move signals Trump's intent to overhaul the FBI and replace current Director Christopher Wray before the end of his 10-year term.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Restructuring leadership • 25%
Focus on internal investigations • 25%
Increased surveillance measures • 25%
Less Politically Motivated • 25%
More Politically Motivated • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other focus • 25%
Internal agency restructuring • 25%
Enhanced counterterrorism measures • 25%
Increased cybersecurity efforts • 25%
Accountability for Russiagate • 25%
Internal restructuring • 25%
Other priorities • 25%
Surveillance reforms • 25%
Unclear • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
Structural reforms • 25%
Other reforms • 25%
No major reforms • 25%
Policy reforms • 25%
Counter-terrorism • 25%
Internal FBI reforms • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Media and political figures • 25%
Pending • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected by Senate • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Nomination pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Other • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Not Appointed • 25%
Appointed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%