Market
What will be the disclosed motive for the Coney Island subway arson by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Personal vendetta • 25%
Random act of violence • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Other • 25%
NYPD statements or credible news reports disclosing the motive
Story
NYPD Seeks Suspect After Woman Set Ablaze on F Train in Coney Island
Dec 22, 2024, 07:18 PM
A woman died on Sunday morning after being set on fire aboard an F train at the Coney Island-Stillwell Avenue subway station in Brooklyn, New York City. The incident occurred around 7:30 a.m., when an unidentified man allegedly approached the sleeping woman—believed to be homeless—and threw a lit match onto her, causing her to become engulfed in flames. Surveillance footage reportedly shows the suspect watching the woman burn before fleeing the scene. The New York Police Department is investigating the case as a homicide and has released a photo of the suspect, who is believed to be between 25 and 30 years old. Authorities are seeking the public's assistance in identifying and locating the suspect.
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Mental Health Issues • 25%
Other/Unknown • 25%
Random Act of Violence • 25%
Personal Dispute • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Substance Abuse • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental fire • 25%
Cause undetermined • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Intentional act by suspect • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Suspect identified but not arrested • 25%
Suspect arrested and charged • 25%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant public demonstrations • 25%
Protests for increased subway security • 25%
Protests against immigration policy • 25%
Other forms of public reaction • 25%
Financial gain • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Corporate espionage • 25%
Other • 25%