Market
What will be the developments in Records Act enforcement by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No changes • 25%
Stricter enforcement • 25%
Looser enforcement • 25%
Significant legislative change • 25%
Legislative records, court rulings, or credible news reports
Story
Supreme Court Rejects Peter Navarro's Appeal on Hundreds of Emails Disclosure Under Presidential Records Act
Dec 16, 2024, 04:20 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court has declined to hear an appeal from Peter Navarro, a former adviser in the Trump administration, regarding a court order requiring him to turn over hundreds of emails sent during his tenure. The court's decision effectively upholds a lower court ruling that mandates Navarro to comply with the Presidential Records Act and submit the requested emails. This ruling comes as Navarro has been in the spotlight following his recent imprisonment and subsequent appointment by President-elect Donald Trump as a senior counselor for trade and manufacturing. The Supreme Court's refusal to intervene was confirmed in multiple reports, emphasizing that Navarro's challenge to the order has been rejected without comment or noted dissent.
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Department of Justice • 25%
Congress • 25%
Federal Courts • 25%
None • 25%
Partial communications released • 25%
No communications released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All communications released • 25%
Policy change allowing full access • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Policy change restricting access further • 25%
Policy change allowing limited access • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Initiation of legal proceedings • 25%
Recommendations for policy change • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Allegations proven • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Allegations disproven • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change in title • 25%
Oversight and Government Reform Committee • 25%
Oversight and Accountability Committee • 25%
Other new title • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Case settled out of court • 25%
Appeal granted • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Few lawsuits filed • 25%
Multiple lawsuits filed • 25%
No new lawsuits • 25%
New regulations introduced • 25%