Market
What will be the change in contraceptive access in affected countries by end of 2025?
1
Trump Administration•Global Gag Rule•Patty Murray•Trump•Melinda Gates•Amnesty International•Rosa DeLauro•Lois Frankel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant decrease • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Reports from health organizations and government health departments
Story
Trump Administration Reinstates Global Gag Rule, Limiting Women's Health Access and Increasing Risks of Unsafe Abortions
Jan 25, 2025, 06:11 PM
The Trump Administration has reinstated the Global Gag Rule, a policy that restricts global health funding for organizations that provide or promote abortion services. Critics, including public health advocates and lawmakers, argue that this move undermines reproductive healthcare and could lead to increased health risks for women. Patty Murray emphasized that the policy caused fear and confusion among health workers and resulted in worse health outcomes during Trump's first term. Melinda Gates highlighted that contraceptives are essential for women's health, and the reinstated restrictions could limit access to these vital resources. Amnesty International criticized the decision as putting millions of lives at risk, while Representative Rosa DeLauro warned that fewer women would have access to family planning services, leading to more unintended pregnancies and unsafe abortions. Representative Lois Frankel called the reinstatement a dangerous regression in women's health rights.
View original story
Similar markets
Implants • 25%
Other • 25%
Vasectomies • 25%
IUDs • 25%
50 to 80 countries • 25%
81 to 120 countries • 25%
More than 120 countries • 25%
Less than 50 countries • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Restricted • 33%
Allowed • 33%
No Change • 1%
Prohibited • 33%
No decision made by end of 2025 • 25%
Funding reallocated to another program • 25%
Funding permanently canceled • 25%
Funding resumed • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change in availability • 25%
Increase in availability • 25%
Decrease in availability • 25%
More than 15 million • 25%
10 million to 15 million • 25%
Less than 5 million • 25%
5 million to 10 million • 25%
Seek alternative funding sources • 25%
Legal challenge against the policy • 25%
Comply with policy and continue receiving funds • 25%
Refuse funds and continue abortion services • 25%
40% to 60% • 25%
Less than 20% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
20% to 40% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
21% to 30% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%