Market
What will be the budget allocation for the Department of Government Efficiency by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Under $1 billion • 25%
$1 billion to $5 billion • 25%
$5 billion to $10 billion • 25%
Over $10 billion • 25%
Official U.S. government budget documents or credible news reports
Story
Elon Musk and Son Lil X Join Trump at Victory Rally, to Lead Government Efficiency Department
Jan 19, 2025, 10:53 PM
Elon Musk joined President-elect Donald Trump on stage at the "Make America Great Again Victory Rally" on inauguration eve, January 19, 2025, at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Accompanied by his son, Lil X, who enthusiastically followed him onto the stage, Musk expressed his support for Trump. He stated, "We're looking forward to making a lot of changes, and this victory is the start, really. What matters going forward is to actually make significant changes, cement those changes, and set the foundation for America to be strong for centuries and make America great again." Musk is set to head the newly established Department of Government Efficiency under the incoming Trump administration.
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No • 50%
Vivek Ramaswamy remains leader • 25%
Elon Musk remains leader • 25%
Both leaders replaced • 25%
One leader replaced • 25%
Other • 25%
Abolishing specific agencies • 25%
Streamlining regulatory bodies • 25%
Reducing federal workforce • 25%
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20% to 40% • 25%
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40% to 60% • 25%
AI integration in government processes • 25%
Other • 25%
Budget cuts in federal agencies • 25%
Remote work reduction • 25%
Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Education • 25%
Healthcare • 25%
Healthcare Spending • 25%
Infrastructure Projects • 25%
Other • 25%
Defense Budget • 25%
Implemented without Congress • 25%
Rejected by Congress • 25%
Passed by Congress • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Workforce reduction • 25%
Other • 25%
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Regulatory reforms • 25%
Cutting specific department budgets • 25%
Other • 25%
Reducing federal employee numbers • 25%
Streamlining procurement processes • 25%
Program elimination • 25%
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Other • 25%
Regulation streamlining • 25%