Market
What will be Paraguay's next major diplomatic action regarding China by mid-2025?
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Paraguay•Chinese•Xu Wei•Taiwan•China•Ministry of Foreign Affairs•UNESCO•Asunción•Paraguayan Foreign Ministry
Resolution / Starting Odds
Re-establish diplomatic relations • 25%
Impose trade restrictions • 25%
Strengthen ties with Taiwan • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from the Paraguayan government or major international news outlets
Story
Paraguay Expels Chinese Envoy Xu Wei for Urging Severing Ties with Taiwan
Dec 5, 2024, 11:49 PM
Paraguay has expelled a Chinese diplomat, Xu Wei, over allegations of interference in its internal affairs, specifically for urging the country to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Xu Wei, a minister counselor of the Department of Latin American and Caribbean Affairs at China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, was attending a UNESCO meeting in Asunción as part of a Chinese delegation. The Paraguayan Foreign Ministry stated that after entering the country, Xu Wei visited lawmakers and urged them to reconsider Paraguay's long-standing diplomatic relationship with Taiwan. In response to this interference, the government canceled his visa on Thursday and ordered him to leave the country within 24 hours.
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Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No new relations established • 25%
China • 25%
Another country • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Recognition leads to improved relations • 25%
Recognition leads to further diplomatic tensions • 25%
Recognition has no significant impact • 25%
Military De-escalation Pact • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Climate Accord • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
New peace talks • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%