Market
What will be Antal Rogan's response to US sanctions by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Resigns from position • 25%
Denies allegations and remains in position • 25%
Takes legal action against US • 25%
No public response • 25%
Statements from Antal Rogan or credible news sources
Story
US Sanctions Hungarian Fidesz Party Official Antal Rogan Under Global Magnitsky Act for Corruption
Jan 7, 2025, 04:35 PM
The United States has imposed sanctions on Antal Rogan, a senior Hungarian government official and member of the Fidesz party, for his alleged involvement in corruption. Rogan, who serves as the Minister in Charge of Prime Minister Viktor Orban's Cabinet Office, is accused by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) of orchestrating schemes to control strategic sectors of the Hungarian economy and diverting proceeds to himself and loyalists of the Fidesz party. The sanctions were enacted under the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, targeting individuals involved in serious human rights abuses and corruption. OFAC stated that Rogan's actions have contributed to a broader climate of impunity in Hungary, where state elements have been captured by oligarchs and undemocratic actors. The sanctions block all property and interests in property of Rogan that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons.
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Rogan resigns • 25%
Rogan retains position • 25%
Rogan promoted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Implement anti-corruption measures • 25%
Other response • 25%
Strengthen ties with Russia/China • 25%
Impose sanctions on U.S. • 25%
File WTO complaint • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic protest only • 25%
Complies with U.S. demands • 25%
Seeks EU intervention • 25%
Strengthens ties with Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Engagement in diplomatic talks • 25%
Increase in regulatory measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Public condemnation of sanctions • 25%
Military Sanctions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Support U.S. sanctions • 25%
Condemn U.S. sanctions • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%