Market
What was the primary material used in the Cybertruck explosion by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Commercial Fireworks • 25%
Homemade Explosive • 25%
Military-Grade Explosive • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or law enforcement announcements
Story
Elon Musk: Bomb Caused Deadly Cybertruck Explosion at Trump Hotel; Authorities Investigate Terrorism
Jan 1, 2025, 10:21 PM
Elon Musk confirmed that the explosion involving a rented Tesla Cybertruck outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas was caused by very large fireworks and/or a bomb carried in the bed of the vehicle. The vehicle was rented from the Turo rental app. Musk stated that the incident was unrelated to the vehicle itself, with all vehicle telemetry reporting positive at the time of the explosion. Authorities are investigating the explosion, which resulted in the death of one person, as an act of terrorism.
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Similar markets
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Deliberate act • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Self-harm • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
External tampering • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Other • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
Other • 25%
Malfunction of the vehicle • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Terrorist activity • 25%
Other • 25%
Recall issued • 25%
No major response • 25%
Safety review announcement • 25%
Other • 25%
Bomb • 25%
Fireworks • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Legal purchase • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Stolen • 25%
Illegal purchase • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
Suicide due to PTSD • 25%
Terrorist intent • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Battery malfunction • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
External interference • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Domestic terrorist group • 25%
Foreign terrorist group • 25%
Individual actor • 25%
Unknown • 25%