Market
What type of security guarantees will be provided to Ukraine by end of 2025?
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Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Russia•Europe•Russian•World Economic Forum•Davos•Zelenskyy•Ukraine•NATO•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
NATO Membership • 25%
Bilateral Security Agreements • 25%
EU Security Pact • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from NATO, EU, or involved countries
Story
Zelenskyy Seeks 200,000 European Peacekeepers and NATO Membership for Ukraine-Russia Peace
Jan 22, 2025, 10:41 AM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has stated that a peace deal with Russia would require the deployment of at least 200,000 peacekeepers from Europe to ensure security and prevent future Russian aggression. Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Zelenskyy emphasized that this number represents the minimum necessary to be effective, given Russia's military strength of 1.5 million troops compared to Ukraine's 750,000. He also highlighted the need for robust security guarantees, suggesting that NATO membership would be the best assurance for a lasting peace. Additionally, Zelenskyy mentioned ongoing preparations for a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, indicating the importance of U.S. involvement in any peacekeeping efforts.
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Diplomatic assurances • 25%
Military support • 25%
No guarantees • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
NATO • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
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Military support • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
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European Union • 25%
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United States • 25%
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Germany • 25%
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