Market
What major political development will occur in Namibia by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New coalition government formed • 25%
Major cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political event • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and official government announcements
Story
Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, 72, Elected Namibia's First Female President with 57% of Vote
Dec 3, 2024, 07:43 PM
Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, 72, the Vice President and candidate from Namibia's ruling SWAPO party, has been elected as the country's first female president with 57% of the vote, according to the nation's electoral commission. She becomes Africa's second female president. The main opposition candidate, Panduleni Itula of the Independent Patriots for Change, received 25% of the vote but has rejected the results, citing electoral malpractices and plans to challenge the outcome in court. The election was characterized by technical problems, including ballot shortages and extended voting periods of up to three days. Despite experiencing its worst-ever electoral showing, the SWAPO party, which has been in power since Namibia gained independence almost 35 years ago, retains control in both the presidential and parliamentary elections.
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Major cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Constitutional amendments • 25%
New economic policies • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More than 50% seats • 25%
Less than 30% seats • 25%
30-40% seats • 25%
40-50% seats • 25%
Vote recount ordered • 25%
Election results upheld • 25%
Re-election ordered • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
China • 25%
South Africa • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other political outcome • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Opposition gains power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
50-60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
40-50% • 25%