Market
What legal actions will occur regarding the 9/11 plea deals by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal filed • 25%
Plea deals upheld • 25%
Plea deals overturned • 25%
No further action • 25%
Legal filings or official announcements from the Department of Defense or other relevant authorities
Story
Military Appeals Court Upholds Plea Deals for 9/11 Mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, Opting for Life Imprisonment
Dec 31, 2024, 02:39 PM
A military appeals court has upheld plea deals for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the 9/11 mastermind, and two other defendants involved in the September 11, 2001 attacks, overruling Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's attempt to nullify these agreements. The deals, which were reached after two years of negotiations, would allow Mohammed, Walid bin Attash, and Mustafa al-Hawsawi to plead guilty in exchange for life imprisonment at Guantanamo Bay instead of facing the death penalty. The court's decision reverses Austin's order from late last summer, which sought to reject the plea agreements due to the gravity of the attacks. The ruling paves the way for a guilty plea hearing to proceed, marking a significant development in a case that has been ongoing since 2012 and has been complicated by issues related to CIA torture of the defendants.
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Similar markets
None receive life imprisonment • 25%
Some receive life imprisonment, others different sentences • 25%
Plea deals are overturned or modified • 25%
All receive life imprisonment • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Military Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Prosecution • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Defense attorneys • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to fewer plea deals • 25%
Leads to more plea deals • 25%
Sets a new precedent • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty pleas accepted • 25%
Guilty pleas rejected • 25%
Plea hearings delayed • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Defense Department • 25%
Military Court • 25%
Other legal actions • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
Appeal of plea deals • 25%
New plea deals negotiated • 25%
Plea deals upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Plea deals overturned • 25%