Market
Outcome of 9/11 Masterminds' Plea Deals by End of 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Plea deals upheld • 25%
Plea deals overturned • 25%
New plea deals negotiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official court records and announcements
Story
Military Court Upholds Plea Deals Sparing 9/11 Masterminds from Death Penalty, Overruling Defense Secretary
Dec 31, 2024, 04:03 PM
A military appeals court has ruled against Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin's attempt to revoke plea agreements for Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, Walid bin Attash, and Mustafa al-Hawsawi, the alleged masterminds behind the September 11, 2001 attacks. The court upheld the plea deals, stating that Austin acted beyond his authority when he rescinded them. The agreements would have the three men plead guilty to war crimes in exchange for being spared the death penalty. This decision reinstates the plea deals and puts them back on track.
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Similar markets
None receive life imprisonment • 25%
All receive life imprisonment • 25%
Plea deals are overturned or modified • 25%
Some receive life imprisonment, others different sentences • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty pleas rejected • 25%
Guilty pleas accepted • 25%
Plea hearings delayed • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Military Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Prosecution • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Defense attorneys • 25%
None plead guilty • 25%
All plead guilty • 25%
Hearing delayed • 25%
Some plead guilty, others not • 25%
Plea deals overturned • 25%
No further action • 25%
Appeal filed • 25%
Plea deals upheld • 25%
Public trial scheduled • 25%
Plea negotiations ongoing • 25%
Plea deal blocked • 25%
Guilty plea accepted • 25%
Leads to more plea deals • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Sets a new precedent • 25%
Leads to fewer plea deals • 25%
Support from multiple countries • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%