What leadership changes will occur in the HTS-led government by December 31, 2025?
Abu Mohammad al-Jolani remains leader • 25%
New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership under council • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the HTS-led government or credible international news outlets
Former Syrian Regime Forces Surrender Weapons to HTS-Led Government in Latakia Amid Amnesty Offers and Coastal Security Operations
Dec 21, 2024, 01:45 PM
In a significant development following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad, former Syrian regime security forces have begun surrendering their weapons to the new rebel-linked transitional government in the southern city of Latakia. Video footage captured by Agence France-Presse shows long lines of men in civilian attire handing over their firearms to officials from the new Syrian government's Ministry of Interior. The new leadership, led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its leader Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, is working to transfer power peacefully and gain international legitimacy. Mohammad Al-Bashir, appointed as the caretaker prime minister, has announced that his government will oversee the transition to a new government over the next three months. Additionally, hundreds of former Syrian soldiers are reporting to the new rulers to answer questions about potential involvement in crimes against civilians, in exchange for promised amnesty. Upon surrendering their weapons, former regime forces receive a temporary card allowing them to circulate in 'liberated' areas while their legal proceedings are completed. The new authorities are also conducting security operations in the coastal regions of Latakia and Tartus to track down and arrest former regime members, amid concerns of mobilization and threats in these areas. HTS leader Jolani has called for the lifting of international sanctions, stating they were targeted at the old regime. This comes as the UN special envoy Geir Otto Pedersen expressed hope for a quick end to sanctions to aid in rebuilding Syria. Over 306,000 civilians were killed during the conflict, according to UN Human Rights estimates.
View original story
Leadership structure changes • 25%
Al-Jolani replaced • 25%
Al-Jolani remains leader • 25%
No significant leadership changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
No change • 25%
Both leadership and policy change • 25%
Policy shift • 25%
Current leadership remains • 25%
Leadership change due to internal decision • 25%
Leadership change due to external pressure • 25%
Leadership change due to assassination • 25%
Both leaderships change • 25%
New HTS leader • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
New U.S. diplomatic leader • 25%
Other statement • 25%
No official stance change • 25%
Reaffirm previous stance • 25%
Denounce terrorism • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military coup • 25%
HTS excluded from government • 25%
Other role • 25%
HTS forms own government • 25%
HTS part of interim government • 25%
Disbanded • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Islamist governance • 25%
Military rule • 25%
Democratic governance • 25%
Hybrid governance • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
Full support • 25%
No support • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Recognized as government • 25%
Recognized as local authority • 25%
Recognized as non-state actor • 25%
Tribal governance model • 25%
No significant change • 25%
National Army formation • 25%
Federal governance model • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Majority granted amnesty • 25%
Majority face prosecution • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%