Market
What is the primary reason for North Korean troop deployment to Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military alliance with Russia • 25%
Economic incentives from Russia • 25%
Political pressure from Russia • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Analyses from international military experts, official statements from North Korea or Russia
Story
Russia Deploys 11,000 North Korean Troops in Kursk Assaults, Zelensky Says
Dec 14, 2024, 09:35 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that Russia has begun deploying North Korean soldiers in significant numbers, estimated at around 11,000 troops, to participate in military operations in Russia's Kursk region. According to Zelensky, these North Korean troops are being integrated into Russian units and used in assaults against Ukrainian positions. He stated that 'Moscow has dragged another state into this war,' emphasizing the escalation of the conflict. He indicated that while they are currently operating in the Kursk region, they may soon be deployed to other fronts. Ukrainian military intelligence also reported that North Korean soldiers have suffered noticeable losses, estimating around 200 casualties. Additionally, there have been reports of friendly fire incidents due to language barriers, including an incident where eight members of the Chechen Akhmat unit were killed by North Korean soldiers.
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Similar markets
International political leverage • 25%
Other • 25%
Military alliance with Russia • 25%
Economic incentives from Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Threat to regional stability • 25%
Violation of international law • 25%
Human rights violations • 25%
Donetsk region • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Luhansk region • 25%
Kursk region • 25%
Military alliance strengthening • 25%
Political leverage • 25%
Economic benefits • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Military training • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Other • 25%
Strategic alliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued involvement • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
