Market
What international diplomatic actions will occur in response to North Korean soldiers in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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North Korean•Russian•Russia•Kursk•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Zelenskyy•Ukraine•North Korea•Korean•South Korea
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions • 25%
Bilateral sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Ukraine Captures Two North Korean Soldiers in Kursk on January 9, Offers Exchange for POWs
Jan 14, 2025, 04:34 PM
Ukrainian forces captured two North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian troops in Russia's Kursk border region on January 9, as announced by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has found 'irrefutable evidence' of North Korea's involvement in the conflict. One of the captured soldiers attempted self-detonation by shouting 'Kim Jong Un General!' and trying to explode a grenade, but was shot by Ukrainian forces. The soldiers were interrogated with the help of a Korean translator, revealing that they believed they were on a training exercise, not fighting in Ukraine. Zelenskyy has offered to exchange these soldiers for Ukrainian prisoners of war held by Russia, and has indicated that South Korea is prepared to accept the soldiers if they wish to defect.
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Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Military support for Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on North Korea • 25%
UN sanctions on North Korea • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Condemnation of North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Support for North Korea • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
NATO military support to Ukraine • 25%
UN sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
UN resolution or statement • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
UN sanctions on North Korea • 25%