Market
What changes in Brazil's political landscape will occur due to Lula's health by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant changes • 25%
Temporary transfer of power • 25%
Permanent change in leadership • 25%
Other political adjustments • 25%
Official announcements from the Brazilian government or credible news reports
Story
Brazil's Lula to Undergo Low-Risk Brain Procedure Thursday After Emergency Surgery
Dec 11, 2024, 08:49 PM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remains in the intensive care unit at São Paulo's Hospital Sírio-Libanês following successful surgery to drain an intracranial hematoma caused by a fall in October. The 79-year-old president is "lucid" and "recovering well" after the emergency procedure. According to his medical team, Lula is scheduled to undergo a second intervention on Thursday morning: an embolization of the middle meningeal artery to block blood flow and prevent further bleeding. Dr. Roberto Kalil Filho, a member of Lula’s medical team, described the upcoming procedure as "a low-risk procedure". The president has been performing physiotherapy, walking, and receiving visits from family members.
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Increased political stability • 25%
Increased political uncertainty • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Calls for leadership change • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor delays • 25%
Major legislative changes • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Other • 25%
Vice President assumes more duties • 25%
New health advisory team • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Positive impact with increased support • 25%
Negative impact with decreased support • 25%
No significant change in public perception • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Significant health decline • 25%
Partial recovery with ongoing treatment • 25%
Unchanged support for Lula • 25%
Increased support for Lula • 25%
Decreased support for Lula • 25%
Significant political unrest • 25%
Deterioration requiring further intervention • 25%
Full recovery • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partial recovery with ongoing treatment • 25%
Declared fully recovered • 25%
Ongoing monitoring required • 25%
Further complications reported • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
No significant updates • 25%
Requires ongoing treatment • 25%
Health worsens • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Significant Decrease • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
Recovering with some restrictions • 25%
Still in recovery with significant limitations • 25%
No significant recovery • 25%