Market
How will public perception of Lula's health impact his political career by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive impact with increased support • 25%
Negative impact with decreased support • 25%
No significant change in public perception • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Opinion polls and public statements from political analysts
Story
Brazil's President Lula, 79, to Undergo Second Brain Surgery to Prevent Further Hemorrhages
Dec 11, 2024, 07:34 PM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, aged 79, underwent an emergency surgery for an intracranial hemorrhage and remains in stable condition in the ICU at Hospital Sírio-Libanês in São Paulo. Medical reports indicate that Lula is alert, has progressed well post-surgery, and is now able to sit up in bed and receive visits from family members. He is scheduled for a second procedure on Thursday morning to block blood flow in a region of his brain and prevent further hemorrhages. This procedure, an embolization of the meningeal artery, aims to stop the bleeding that caused his initial emergency surgery. Despite his condition, Lula has been engaging in physical therapy and walking, indicating a positive recovery trajectory. His medical team, led by Dr. Roberto Kalil Filho, has stated that work is currently out of the question, focusing instead on his health and recovery.
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Other • 25%
Worsened perception • 25%
Unchanged perception • 25%
Improved perception • 25%
Improved confidence in health • 25%
Uncertain/varied opinions • 25%
Increased concern over health • 25%
No change in perception • 25%
Increased political uncertainty • 25%
Calls for leadership change • 25%
Increased political stability • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reduced public appearances • 25%
No appearances • 25%
No change in schedule • 25%
Significantly reduced appearances • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Major legislative changes • 25%
Minor delays • 25%
No impact • 25%
Requires ongoing treatment • 25%
No significant updates • 25%
Health worsens • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
Other • 25%
Declared fully recovered • 25%
Ongoing monitoring required • 25%
Further complications reported • 25%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Positive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Negative • 25%
Retirement due to health • 25%
Fully recovered • 25%
Health complications arise • 25%
Partial recovery with ongoing treatment • 25%
Other • 25%
Fully recovered and active • 25%
Partially recovered, limited activity • 25%
Still under semi-intensive care • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Very positive • 25%
Somewhat positive • 25%
Negative • 25%