Market
What change, if any, will occur in federal policy towards sanctuary cities by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase enforcement actions • 25%
Decrease enforcement actions • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Introduce new legislation • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or Department of Justice
Story
Trump Administration Launches Immigration Enforcement Operation in Chicago on Sunday, Led by Emil Bove and Tom Homan
Jan 26, 2025, 08:59 PM
The Trump administration has launched an intensified immigration enforcement operation in Chicago, involving multiple federal agencies. Acting Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove and 'border czar' Tom Homan were in the city to oversee the operation, which began on Sunday. The operation includes agencies such as the FBI, DEA, ATF, U.S. Marshals Service, and Customs and Border Protection, and is part of a broader effort to increase arrests nationwide. The enforcement targets public safety and national security threats, with ICE confirming the start of 'enhanced targeted operations' in Chicago on Sunday. Few details about the operation, including the number of arrests, have been made public. The operation has sparked fear among Chicago's immigrant communities, especially following recent executive orders aimed at restricting immigration and targeting sanctuary cities like Chicago.
View original story
Similar markets
Increase in sanctuary cities • 25%
Decrease in sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reversal of sanctuary policies • 25%
Strengthening of policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Weakening of policies • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
None • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Funding cuts to sanctuary cities • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Legal action against sanctuary cities • 25%
Increased ICE operations in sanctuary cities • 25%
Sanctuary city status upheld • 25%
Mixed rulings across states • 25%
Sanctuary city status overturned • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in Sanctuary Policies • 25%
Decrease in Sanctuary Policies • 25%
Other • 25%
No Change • 25%
Supportive response • 25%
No response • 25%
Critical response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Increased legal challenges • 25%
Compliance with federal policies • 25%
Public protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
