Market
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya to return to Belarus by December 31, 2025?
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Belarus•Alexander Lukashenko•Western•Lukashenko•European Union•United States•Warsaw•Poland•Svetlana Tikhanovskaya•Belarusians
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Publicly available information or statements from Tikhanovskaya or Belarusian authorities
Story
Lukashenko Wins Seventh Term in Belarus Amid Criticism from Western Nations and Tikhanovskaya
Jan 26, 2025, 09:43 AM
Belarus held its presidential election on January 26, 2025, with President Alexander Lukashenko securing a seventh term. The election was widely criticized by Western nations and opposition groups as a sham, lacking genuine competition and legitimacy. Lukashenko, in power since 1994, faced no serious challengers as key opposition figures were either imprisoned or in exile. The European Union, along with several of its member states and the United States, declared the election to be neither free nor fair, citing the suppression of political participation and independent media. Protests against the election were held in Warsaw, Poland, led by opposition leader Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, who denounced the election as a farce. Lukashenko dismissed Western criticism, emphasizing that the recognition of the election by Belarusians was his primary concern.
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None return • 25%
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya • 25%
Pavel Latushka • 25%
Other known opposition leader • 25%
Other responses • 25%
General acceptance of the results • 25%
Calls for dialogue without sanctions • 25%
Condemnation and new sanctions • 25%
Form a government-in-exile • 25%
Organize mass protests • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Constitutional changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased authoritarian measures • 25%
New political opposition movements • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
