Market
Significant Political Protest in Brazil Related to Lula's Administration by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news outlets such as BBC or The New York Times
Story
Brazilian President Lula da Silva Recovering After Emergency Brain Surgery on December 11, 2024, in Good Condition with No Lasting Effects
Dec 11, 2024, 09:23 AM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is currently hospitalized at the Sírio-Libanês hospital in São Paulo following an emergency surgery to address a brain hemorrhage. Reports indicate that Lula is awake, conversing normally, and is expected to remain under observation for several days. Medical professionals have stated that he is in good condition and will not suffer any lasting effects from the surgery. The incident has prompted discussions regarding the upcoming presidential succession in 2026 and has delayed the appointment of Sidônio Palmeira to head the communications office. The situation has garnered international media attention, with outlets such as The New York Times and BBC covering the story. Despite his health challenges, political pressures continue to mount on Lula's administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Decreased support for Lula • 25%
Increased support for Lula • 25%
Significant political unrest • 25%
Unchanged support for Lula • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Critical • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Other political adjustments • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Temporary transfer of power • 25%
Permanent change in leadership • 25%
Increased political uncertainty • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased political stability • 25%
Calls for leadership change • 25%
National address • 25%
International summit • 25%
Cultural event • 25%
State visit • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Clear Consensus • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
State visit • 25%
National holiday celebration • 25%
Political rally • 25%
Other • 25%
Below 20% • 25%
Between 20% and 40% • 25%
Between 40% and 60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
