Market
Significant diplomatic fallout between Ukraine and Russia over Yevsyukov bombing by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official diplomatic communications or credible media reports
Story
Former Olenivka Prison Head, Linked to 2022 POW Massacre, Killed in Donetsk Car Bombing
Dec 9, 2024, 08:35 AM
Sergey Yevsyukov, the former head of the Olenivka prison colony in Donetsk, was killed in a car bombing in the city center. Yevsyukov was implicated in the mass murder of at least 53 Ukrainian prisoners of war in July 2022 at Olenivka prison. The explosion occurred in a white Toyota Land Cruiser Prado, severely damaging the driver's door. His wife was also injured in the blast, losing a leg and being hospitalized in serious condition. The incident has been reported by various media outlets, including Russian state propaganda and military bloggers.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No major action • 25%
Peace talks • 25%
Another prisoner exchange • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Admission of involvement • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
No official comment • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Severed relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%