Market
Significant AI Safety Incident in the U.S. by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports from reputable sources
Story
On First Day Back, Trump Revokes Biden's AI Executive Order 14110, Ends Safety Reporting Requirements
Jan 21, 2025, 12:48 AM
On Monday, President Donald Trump revoked Executive Order 14110, a 2023 directive signed by former President Joe Biden that aimed to mitigate risks associated with artificial intelligence to consumers, workers, and national security. The Biden order, the longest executive order in U.S. history, required developers of high-risk AI systems to share safety test results with the U.S. government before public release. By rescinding this order on his first day back in office, Trump has eliminated these reporting requirements on frontier models, raising questions about the future of AI regulation and safety protocols. Some venture capitalists, who argued that Biden's AI policies could hinder innovation, cited the rescinded order as a factor contributing to their decision to back Trump.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ethical implications • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Job displacement • 25%
Security risks • 25%
Increased concern • 25%
Decreased concern • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data Privacy • 25%
AI Misalignment • 25%
AI Deception • 25%
Ethical AI • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
FBI • 25%
Other • 25%
MIT Technology Review • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Reinforcement Learning Safety • 25%
Other • 25%
Alignment Techniques • 25%
Deception Detection • 25%