Market
Major AI Companies Voluntarily Adopt Safety Standards by Mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public announcements or press releases from major AI companies
Story
On First Day Back, Trump Revokes Biden's AI Executive Order 14110, Ends Safety Reporting Requirements
Jan 21, 2025, 12:48 AM
On Monday, President Donald Trump revoked Executive Order 14110, a 2023 directive signed by former President Joe Biden that aimed to mitigate risks associated with artificial intelligence to consumers, workers, and national security. The Biden order, the longest executive order in U.S. history, required developers of high-risk AI systems to share safety test results with the U.S. government before public release. By rescinding this order on his first day back in office, Trump has eliminated these reporting requirements on frontier models, raising questions about the future of AI regulation and safety protocols. Some venture capitalists, who argued that Biden's AI policies could hinder innovation, cited the rescinded order as a factor contributing to their decision to back Trump.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN develops standards • 25%
No standards developed • 25%
ISO develops standards • 25%
Another organization develops standards • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Supportive of policies • 25%
Other stance • 25%
Opposed to policies • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Other • 25%
Google • 25%
Amazon • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Google • 25%
Amazon • 25%
Other • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
Google • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
No change • 25%
Oppose new protections • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Strengthen protections • 25%