Market
Russia sanctioned over Assad's escape by mid-2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official sanction announcements from the EU or US government websites
Story
Assad Escapes to Russia After 24-Year Rule Ends in Syria
Dec 11, 2024, 08:35 AM
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov has confirmed that former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who was ousted from power after a rapid advance by opposition groups, is now safely in Russia. Assad's regime fell after nearly 24 years of rule, marked by a brutal civil war that became a proxy battlefield for regional and international powers. Russia, which had intervened in Syria’s civil war to support Assad, facilitated his secure exit from the country. Ryabkov emphasized that Assad was transported to Russia 'in the most secure way possible' and that he would not face trial at the International Criminal Court (ICC).
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Sanctions on Syria • 25%
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Political stability • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian reasons • 25%
Neutral stance by major powers • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by Western countries • 25%
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