Market
Primary Chinese Response to US Semiconductor Export Restrictions by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal Action • 25%
Retaliatory Trade Measures • 25%
Increased Domestic Investment • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government or credible news reports
Story
US to Restrict Semiconductor Exports to 140 Chinese Firms, Including Naura Technology Group
Dec 2, 2024, 05:15 AM
The United States is preparing to implement its third major crackdown on China's semiconductor industry in three years. The new measures, reported by Bloomberg News and set to be announced on Monday, will include export restrictions targeting 140 companies, among them Naura Technology Group, a prominent chip equipment manufacturer. These restrictions aim to limit China's access to advanced semiconductor technologies and are part of broader efforts to curb the country's technological advancements. The move stops short of earlier proposals but represents a significant escalation in trade restrictions between the two nations.
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Other actions • 25%
Increase domestic production • 25%
Impose sanctions on US companies • 25%
Seek alternative suppliers • 25%
Implement reciprocal export restrictions • 25%
File a WTO complaint • 25%
Negotiate with the US • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Further restrictions on US companies • 25%
Other economic measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Developing domestic alternatives • 25%
Stockpiling restricted items • 25%
Legal action against US • 25%
Seeking international partnerships • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
No response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions ease • 25%
New agreements reached • 25%
No change in policies • 25%