Market
Primary reason for Senate rejection of RFK Jr.'s nomination if occurs by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Vaccine skepticism • 25%
Controversial CIA claims • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. Senate or major news outlets
Story
RFK Jr. Nominated for HHS Secretary, Seeks CIA Probe into JFK's Assassination
Dec 11, 2024, 07:20 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., nominated by President Donald Trump for the position of Secretary of Health and Human Services, believes that the CIA was involved in the assassination of his uncle, former President John F. Kennedy. Kennedy Jr. is reportedly pushing for his daughter-in-law, Amaryllis Fox Kennedy, to be appointed as the deputy director of the CIA to investigate this claim. His nomination has stirred controversy, with opposition from notable figures including 15 Harvard-affiliated Nobel Laureates who signed an open letter against his appointment. Meanwhile, some in the pharmaceutical industry see potential opportunities for collaboration with Kennedy Jr. on managing health risks in a changing climate, despite his skepticism towards vaccines and pharmaceutical pricing.
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Lack of Qualifications • 25%
Other • 25%
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Public Health Concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Public health measures • 25%
Vaccine views • 25%
Abortion stance • 25%
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Withdrawn • 25%
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Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
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Withdrawn • 34%
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Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
No Decision • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
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No Statement • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
No vote held • 34%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
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Confirmed • 25%