Market
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy appointed Deputy CIA Director by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcement from the CIA or major news outlets
Story
RFK Jr. Nominated for HHS Secretary, Seeks CIA Probe into JFK's Assassination
Dec 11, 2024, 07:20 PM
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., nominated by President Donald Trump for the position of Secretary of Health and Human Services, believes that the CIA was involved in the assassination of his uncle, former President John F. Kennedy. Kennedy Jr. is reportedly pushing for his daughter-in-law, Amaryllis Fox Kennedy, to be appointed as the deputy director of the CIA to investigate this claim. His nomination has stirred controversy, with opposition from notable figures including 15 Harvard-affiliated Nobel Laureates who signed an open letter against his appointment. Meanwhile, some in the pharmaceutical industry see potential opportunities for collaboration with Kennedy Jr. on managing health risks in a changing climate, despite his skepticism towards vaccines and pharmaceutical pricing.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Appointed • 25%
Position not filled • 25%
Christopher Wray • 25%
Position vacant • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Kash Patel • 25%
Position vacant • 25%
Kash Patel • 25%
Christopher Wray • 25%
Another individual • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed by June 30, 2025 • 25%
Confirmed by April 30, 2025 • 25%
Not confirmed by June 30, 2025 • 25%
Nomination withdrawn • 25%
