Market
Primary reason for Nippon Steel and U.S. Steel merger outcome by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Regulatory approval • 25%
Legal victory • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Market conditions • 25%
Official announcements, court rulings, or regulatory reports
Story
Biden Administration Delays Enforcement of Order Blocking $14.9 Billion Nippon Steel, U.S. Steel Merger Until June
Jan 12, 2025, 03:16 AM
The Biden administration has postponed the enforcement of an executive order that would have required Nippon Steel to abandon its $14.9 billion merger bid for U.S. Steel. The decision provides both companies with additional time as courts review their legal challenge against the order. Initially, the order mandated that the companies scrap the deal within 30 days, but the enforcement will now be delayed until June, allowing for further legal proceedings.
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Market conditions • 25%
Regulatory approval • 25%
Regulatory denial • 25%
Negotiation breakdown • 25%
National Security Concerns • 25%
Market Conditions • 25%
Political Pressure • 25%
Economic Considerations • 25%
Acquisition delayed again • 25%
Acquisition abandoned • 25%
Acquisition blocked permanently • 25%
Acquisition completed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal completed • 25%
Deal abandoned by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal blocked by court • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Political motivations • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
National security grounds • 25%
Political interference • 25%
Other legal reasons • 25%