Market
Outcome of Nippon Steel's acquisition attempt of U.S. Steel by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 25%
Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from CFIUS, Nippon Steel, or U.S. Steel
Story
Trump Vows to Block Nippon Steel's $14.1 Billion Acquisition of U.S. Steel
Dec 3, 2024, 03:09 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced his opposition to Nippon Steel's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel, pledging to block the $14.1 billion deal upon taking office. Trump stated he will utilize tax incentives and tariffs to revive the American steel industry, making U.S. Steel 'strong and great again.' The transaction has been under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) and was also opposed by the Biden administration due to national security concerns. Notably, Nippon Steel, Japan's largest steelmaker, had hired former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo earlier this year to assist in securing the deal.
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Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Acquisition abandoned • 25%
Acquisition delayed again • 25%
Acquisition blocked permanently • 25%
Acquisition completed • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Acquisition Completed • 25%
Acquisition Blocked • 25%
Acquisition Delayed • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal abandoned by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal blocked by court • 25%
Deal completed • 25%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Approved • 25%