Market
Primary reason for Iraqi action against militia crossing into Syria by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Violation of Iraqi sovereignty • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Internal security concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Iraqi government reported by credible news agencies
Story
Iraqi Cleric Urges Government and Militias to Refrain from Syrian Conflict
Dec 5, 2024, 05:07 PM
Iraqi Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr has issued a strong call for non-interference in the Syrian conflict, urging both the Iraqi government, including the Iraqi army, and militia groups to refrain from engaging in the ongoing conflict. Al-Sadr emphasized the importance of respecting Syria's sovereignty and warned against falling for schemes by the US, Israel, and Britain. His statement comes in response to a call from a Syrian rebel leader for Iraq to distance itself from the Syrian war. Al-Sadr, known for his Iraqi nationalist stance, has consistently criticized Iran's influence in Iraq and seeks to prevent Iraqi forces from aiding the Assad regime. He insists that any armed group from Iraq crossing into Syria must be “punished and prevented” by the Iraqi government.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Relaxed enforcement • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Stricter enforcement • 25%
No change • 25%
Transfer to a third country • 25%
Provide asylum • 25%
Detain indefinitely • 25%
Repatriate to Syria • 25%
Fear of militia takeover • 25%
Orders from superiors • 25%
Seeking asylum • 25%
Lack of supplies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Support Syrian army directly in combat • 25%
Other objective • 25%
Conduct independent operations • 25%
Secure supply lines and logistics • 25%
Economic reasons addressed • 25%
Political agreement reached • 25%
Terrorist threat resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military defeat • 25%
Other • 25%
Strategic realignment • 25%
International pressure • 25%