Market
Primary outcome of IDF's operations in Southern Syria by mid-2025?
2
Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Syria•Assad•Israeli military•Golan Heights•1974 Disengagement Agreement•Damascus
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security in Israel • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
International diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official military statements
Story
IDF Seizes Over 3,300 Weapons in Southern Syria Since Assad Regime's Fall, Amid Multi-Front War
Jan 15, 2025, 12:04 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have reported seizing over 3,300 weapons and military equipment from southern Syria since the fall of the Assad regime. The captured items include two tanks, 70 grenades, 165 rockets, 20 anti-aircraft missiles, and 1,500 rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs). The IDF's operations in Syria are part of a broader multi-front war that has seen the confiscation of over 170,000 military items across various conflict zones. The Israeli military's actions in Syria have been criticized as a territorial grab, with forces deployed beyond the demilitarized buffer zone in the occupied Golan Heights, violating the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Local Syrians have expressed concerns over the Israeli military's presence, which has extended to within 20 kilometers of Damascus.
View original story
Similar markets
Border Security • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Intelligence Gathering • 25%
Weapon Seizure • 25%
Other • 25%
Preventing weapon transfers to Lebanon • 25%
Establishing air defense systems • 25%
Targeting strategic weapons • 25%
Operations escalate into broader conflict • 25%
IDF withdraws without achieving objectives • 25%
IDF maintains control in targeted areas • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Missile Storage Sites • 25%
Border Cities • 25%
Air Defense Systems • 25%
Other Military Targets • 25%
Offensive operations against Syrian forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Intelligence gathering and reconnaissance • 25%
Defensive operations to secure the border • 25%
IDF increases its presence • 25%
IDF withdraws completely • 25%
IDF maintains current position • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Prolonged military presence • 25%
IDF withdrawal after achieving objectives • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
UN-mediated resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation of tensions • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Reduction in forces • 25%
Continued reinforcement • 25%
Operation halted or reversed • 25%
Partial fortification with significant incidents • 25%
Successful fortification with no incidents • 25%
Successful fortification with minor incidents • 25%
Counter-terrorism operations • 25%
Seizure of weapons caches • 25%
Border security enhancement • 25%
Infrastructure dismantling • 25%