Market
Outcome of IDF reinforcement in Golan Heights by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
De-escalation of tensions • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major international news agencies or official statements
Story
IDF Assists UN Forces to Repel Armed Gunmen's Attack on Post in Hader, Syria; Reinforces Golan Heights
Dec 7, 2024, 03:50 PM
Earlier today, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) announced that they are assisting United Nations forces in repelling an attack by armed gunmen on a UN post in the Hader area of Syria, near the Israeli border. The IDF has deployed reinforced forces on the Golan Heights front and stated that it will continue to act to defend Israel and its citizens.
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Similar markets
Increased stability in the region • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
Reduction in forces • 25%
Continued reinforcement • 25%
Partial fortification with significant incidents • 25%
Successful fortification with no incidents • 25%
Successful fortification with minor incidents • 25%
Operation halted or reversed • 25%
Other • 25%
Intelligence gathering and reconnaissance • 25%
Defensive operations to secure the border • 25%
Offensive operations against Syrian forces • 25%
IDF maintains current position • 25%
IDF withdraws completely • 25%
IDF increases its presence • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Operations escalate into broader conflict • 25%
IDF maintains control in targeted areas • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
IDF withdraws without achieving objectives • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawal of IDF • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Full control established • 25%
