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Primary outcome of Aleppo offensive by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Territorial gains by Syrian government • 25%
Territorial gains by opposition forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
International intervention leads to new borders • 25%
Analysis and reports from international news agencies such as Reuters or The Guardian
Story
Assad Claims Aleppo Offensive Aims to Redraw Map in Line with U.S. Interests
Dec 2, 2024, 12:23 PM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has described the recent armed opposition-led offensive in the country's north, particularly in Aleppo, as an attempt to redraw the map of the region. During a phone call with his Iranian counterpart, Assad stated that the escalation is aimed at dividing the region and fragmenting countries within it to align with U.S. interests. He specifically mentioned that the offensive, which has captured significant territory, reflects the broader geopolitical goals of altering regional boundaries.
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Rebels gain significant territory • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Government forces regain control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
ISIS or other terrorist groups • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
Syrian regime regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Rebel victory • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Government victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
HTS • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Opposition Forces • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Regime maintains current positions • 25%
Opposition gains significant ground • 25%
Opposition groups • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other forces • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Government regains lost ground • 25%
Rebels gain control of Damascus • 25%
Rebels make significant gains but not Damascus • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Rebels control Damascus • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Prolonged stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
HTS loses control • 25%
HTS solidifies control • 25%
