Market
Primary motive identified for Tehran Supreme Court attack by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Political motive • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Religious extremism • 25%
Other motive • 25%
Official investigation reports or credible news sources
Story
Iranian Supreme Court Judges Razini and Moghiseh Killed, Third Judge Injured in Tehran Attack
Jan 18, 2025, 11:09 AM
Two senior judges of Iran's Supreme Court, Ali Razini and Mohammad Moghiseh, were shot dead in a targeted attack in Tehran on Saturday at approximately 10:45 a.m. The shooting occurred inside the Supreme Court building in central Tehran. A third judge, identified as Judge Miri, was injured in the attack. Local media reported that the assailant, reportedly a staff member of the judiciary, used a handgun to carry out the attack and then committed suicide. Authorities have arrested several staff members as part of the investigation and are treating the incident as a terrorist attack. Razini and Moghiseh were known for handling high-profile cases involving espionage and terrorism.
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Similar markets
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Political Motive • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Political motive • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Foreign involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Foreign Entity • 25%
Other • 25%
External Political Group • 25%
Internal Judiciary Employee • 25%
Retaliatory actions • 25%
Judicial reforms • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Political dissidence • 25%
Other • 25%
External influence • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Iranian political dissidents • 25%
Foreign intelligence agencies • 25%
Internal judiciary conflict • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
Judicial procedural changes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%