Market
Primary cooperation of López in investigations by mid-2025?
3
Dámaso López Serrano•El Mini Lic•Virginia•United States•López•Sinaloa Cartel•Mexico•Claudia Sheinbaum•Javier Valdez•FBI
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Official announcements or reports from U.S. or Mexican authorities
Story
Dámaso 'El Mini Lic' López Arrested in Virginia on December 14, 2024, for Fentanyl Trafficking; Linked to Javier Valdez Murder
Dec 14, 2024, 06:18 PM
Dámaso López Serrano, known as 'El Mini Lic', was arrested in Virginia, United States, on December 14, 2024, for fentanyl trafficking. López, a former leader of the Sinaloa Cartel and a former informant for U.S. authorities, had been on supervised release since 2017 after previously cooperating with law enforcement. His arrest raises questions about the effectiveness of the U.S. narco informant system. The President of Mexico, Claudia Sheinbaum, confirmed the arrest, calling it a 'very important' capture. López is also implicated in the murder of journalist Javier Valdez. The FBI has confirmed his capture, which has been described as significant in the ongoing efforts to combat drug trafficking in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
Mistaken identity • 33%
Confirmed as López • 33%
Unconfirmed • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Public apology • 25%
Further investigation • 25%
Investigation closed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Multiple convictions • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Some convictions, some acquittals • 25%
Minor involvement found • 25%
No involvement found • 25%
Complete exoneration • 25%
Significant involvement found • 25%
Multiple suspects • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
External party • 25%
Government official • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%