Market
Outcome of Operation Contragolpe investigation by June 2025?
3
Alexandre de Moraes•Rodrigo Bezerra Azevedo•Mário Fernandes•Brasília•Operation Contragolpe•Rio de Janeiro•Moraes
Resolution / Starting Odds
Multiple convictions • 25%
Some convictions, some acquittals • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Official announcements from Brazilian judiciary or government
Story
Moraes Authorizes Transfer of 'Kids Pretos' Officers to Brasília Prison Amid Coup Plot Probe
Dec 2, 2024, 06:12 PM
Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes has authorized the transfer of two military officers, Lieutenant Colonel Rodrigo Bezerra Azevedo and retired General Mário Fernandes, to a military prison in Brasília. Both individuals, referred to as 'kids pretos' in reports, were arrested as part of Operation Contragolpe, which investigates a suspected plot to overthrow the government and assassinate authorities. The two officers were previously held in preventive detention in Rio de Janeiro. Moraes' decision, made on November 29, was publicly disclosed on December 2.
View original story
Similar markets
No convictions • 25%
Few convictions • 25%
Multiple convictions • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Multiple charges including Bolsonaro • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges against Bolsonaro • 25%
Charges against other officials • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Cleared of charges • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Further indictments • 25%
Convictions secured • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Charged but acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Agents exonerated • 25%
Agents face disciplinary action • 25%
Agents face criminal charges • 25%
Investigation dropped • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Multiple convictions • 25%
Mauro Cid • 25%
Other • 25%
Flávio Peregrino • 25%
Jair Bolsonaro • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bolsonaro exonerated • 25%
Bolsonaro charged • 25%
Inquiry inconclusive • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Exoneration • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%