Market
Predominant public reaction to New Orleans attack by March 31, 2025?
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FBI•Texas•New Orleans•Jabbar•Bourbon Street•Facebook•Islamic State•French Quarter•Tesla Cybertruck•Trump•Las Vegas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security measures • 25%
Focus on mental health • 25%
Stricter immigration policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Public opinion polls or major news outlet analyses
Story
Shamsud-Din Jabbar's Lone Act of Terrorism in New Orleans Kills 14, Injures 35, Inspired by Islamic State
Jan 2, 2025, 06:03 PM
The FBI has determined that Shamsud-Din Jabbar, a 42-year-old U.S. Army veteran from Texas, acted alone in a truck attack in New Orleans that resulted in 15 total deaths, including Jabbar himself, and injured 35 others. The attack, which took place on Bourbon Street during New Year's celebrations, was labeled an 'act of terrorism' by the FBI. Jabbar, who was fatally shot by police during the incident, had posted five videos on Facebook hours before the attack, expressing his allegiance to the Islamic State group and his intent to kill. He originally planned to harm his family and friends but was concerned that media coverage would not focus on the 'war between the believers and the disbelievers.' The FBI found no evidence of accomplices after reviewing surveillance footage and conducting numerous interviews. Additionally, Jabbar had placed two improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in cooler boxes in the French Quarter before the attack. The agency also clarified that there is no definitive link between this attack and a separate incident involving a Tesla Cybertruck explosion outside a Trump hotel in Las Vegas.
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Mental health • 25%
National security • 25%
Other • 25%
Gun control • 25%
Public Protests • 25%
Other/No Significant Reaction • 25%
Increased Support for Security Measures • 25%
Calls for Policy Change • 25%
Public Awareness Campaign • 25%
New Legislation • 25%
Increased Federal Funding • 25%
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Public opinion divided • 25%
Majority oppose classification • 25%
Majority support classification • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Religious extremism • 25%
Political statement • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Personal grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
ISIS-inspired terrorism • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Increased funding for counter-terrorism • 25%
Emergency powers enacted • 25%
New security measures implemented • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
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Other/Unknown • 25%
Mental Illness • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Increased surveillance • 25%
Increased funding for counter-terrorism • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
New legislation on domestic terrorism • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Mental health issues • 25%
Terrorism • 25%