Market
Outcome of U.S. Steel sale to Nippon Steel by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approved • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Deal withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government, CFIUS, or Nippon Steel
Story
Trump, Post-Election, Vows to Block U.S. Steel Sale to Japan's Nippon Steel
Dec 3, 2024, 02:42 AM
Former President Donald Trump, who has won the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, has announced his intention to block the proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel by Nippon Steel of Japan. Trump stated his opposition to the deal on Truth Social, emphasizing his commitment to prevent the sale of the iconic American company to foreign ownership. He plans to use a series of tariffs and tax incentives to strengthen U.S. Steel and revive the industry upon taking office. The deal is currently under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) and has already faced opposition from the Biden administration.
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Acquisition completed • 25%
Acquisition abandoned • 25%
Acquisition delayed again • 25%
Acquisition blocked permanently • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Blocked by U.S. government • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Blocked • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Deal Blocked by Biden • 25%
Deal Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Deal Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Withdrawn by Nippon Steel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Approved • 25%
Blocked by CFIUS • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
Merger abandoned by companies • 25%
Merger blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deal abandoned by Nippon Steel • 25%
Deal blocked by court • 25%
Deal completed • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Acquisition Blocked • 25%
Acquisition Completed • 25%
Acquisition Delayed • 25%
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