Market
Outcome of Panama's UN complaint on Canal by end of 2025?
3
Donald Trump•United States•Panama Canal•China•Trump•Panama•Manifest Destiny•José Raúl Mulino•Panamanian•United Nations•Russia
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN supports Panama • 25%
UN dismisses complaint • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Official UN documentation or international news reports
Story
Trump Vows to Retake Panama Canal from Alleged Chinese Control; Panama Files UN Complaint
Jan 21, 2025, 09:30 PM
During his inaugural address on January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the United States would 'take back' the Panama Canal, claiming that China is operating the vital waterway. Trump stated, 'China is operating the Panama Canal, and we didn't give it to China. We gave it to Panama, and we're taking it back,' invoking the 19th-century doctrine of 'Manifest Destiny.' Panama's President José Raúl Mulino firmly rejected Trump's claims, stating that the Panama Canal 'is and will remain Panamanian.' In response to the remarks, Panama has filed a complaint with the United Nations, citing concerns over sovereignty and territorial integrity. China has denied any interference in the canal's operations. Additionally, Russia has warned President Trump against seizing the canal.
View original story
Similar markets
UN supports U.S. • 25%
UN supports Panama • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Mediation recommended • 25%
Resolution pending • 25%
Complaint dismissed • 25%
Complaint upheld • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful negotiation • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Panama reduces tolls • 25%
U.S. takes military action • 25%
No change in tolls or military action • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Panama lowers tariffs • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions • 25%
Negotiation • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
No official response • 25%
Rejection • 25%