Market
Outcome of Kim Yong-hyun's treason trial by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty of treason • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Mistrial or retrial • 25%
Convicted with death penalty • 25%
Convicted with life imprisonment • 25%
Convicted with lesser sentence • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
South Korean court verdicts and official announcements
Story
Ex-Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun Arrested for Treason Over South Korea's Martial Law Crisis
Dec 8, 2024, 01:20 AM
South Korean prosecutors have arrested former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun on charges of treason related to his alleged involvement in President Yoon Suk-yeol's brief and controversial declaration of martial law on December 3. Kim is suspected of advising President Yoon to impose martial law, which plunged the country into political turmoil. He was detained after six hours of questioning, with prosecutors citing the risk of evidence destruction, and his mobile phone was confiscated. The investigation into the circumstances surrounding the martial law declaration marks a significant escalation in South Korea's political crisis, with treason charges carrying a maximum penalty of death. Kim is the first figure detained over the case.
View original story
Similar markets
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of some charges • 25%
Convicted of all charges • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of Lesser Charge • 25%
Mistrial/Other • 25%
Convicted of Insurrection • 25%
Plea bargain • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Insurrection • 25%
Other • 25%
Attempted coup • 25%
Conspiracy • 25%
