Market
Outcome of Joe Manchin's 2024 Senate reelection bid?
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Joe Manchin•Kyrsten Sinema•Lauren McFerran•National Labor Relations Board•NLRB•Democratic•Donald Trump•GOP•Kamala Harris•Manchin•Sinema
Resolution / Starting Odds
Wins reelection • 33%
Loses to Republican candidate • 33%
Loses to another Democrat • 33%
Official election results from West Virginia
Story
Manchin, Sinema Vote Against NLRB Chair, Paving Way for Trump's Labor Agenda
Dec 11, 2024, 06:57 PM
In a significant political maneuver, Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, both nearing the end of their terms, voted against the reappointment of Lauren McFerran as chair of the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB), effectively blocking Democratic control of the board. The vote, which resulted in a 50-49 tally, means that President-elect Donald Trump will have the opportunity to appoint a majority of members to the NLRB when he takes office in January 2025. This decision has major implications for labor policy, potentially allowing the GOP to enact an anti-union agenda. The vote was closely watched, with Vice President Kamala Harris present to break a potential tie, although her vote was not needed due to Manchin and Sinema's opposition.
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Increased political support • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Manchin changes political strategy • 25%
Decreased political support • 25%
Does not run for re-election • 25%
Wins primary and general election • 25%
Loses primary • 25%
Wins primary but loses general election • 25%
Independent candidate wins • 25%
Democratic candidate wins • 25%
Republican candidate wins • 25%
Other party candidate wins • 25%
Wins Senate seat • 25%
Loses in general election • 25%
Withdraws candidacy • 25%
Loses in primary • 25%
Other involvement • 25%
Announces 2028 run • 25%
Endorses a candidate • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Republican candidate wins • 25%
Democratic candidate wins • 25%
Runoff election required • 25%
Independent/Other candidate wins • 25%
Nomination process delayed • 25%
Another candidate is nominated • 25%
Joe Biden withdraws before nomination • 25%
Joe Biden is the nominee • 25%
Chuck Schumer • 25%
Mitch McConnell • 25%
John Thune • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic candidate • 33%
Jon Husted • 33%
Other Republican candidate • 33%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear winner • 25%