Market
What will be Joe Biden's political move in 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Announces 2028 run • 25%
Endorses a candidate • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other involvement • 25%
Public statements, news articles, political events
Story
Joe Biden Regrets Ending Re-election Campaign, Says He Would Have Beaten Trump
Dec 28, 2024, 07:35 PM
According to recent reports from The Guardian and The Washington Post, former President Joe Biden regrets ending his re-election campaign and believes he would have defeated Donald Trump in last month's election. Despite shaky polling and a rough debate performance, Biden expressed confidence in his ability to win. These revelations come after Biden's withdrawal from the race, which was attributed to concerns about his age and cognitive abilities.
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Similar markets
No announcement by end of 2025 • 25%
Delegates decision to Democratic Party • 25%
Announces he will not run • 25%
Announces candidacy • 25%
Pursue other political roles • 25%
No major announcement • 25%
Run for California Governor • 25%
Run for President in 2028 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Public speaking • 25%
Writing a book • 25%
Retirement from public life • 25%
Other • 25%
Retired • 25%
University Lecturer • 25%
Author • 25%
Political Advisor • 25%
Legislative challenges • 25%
No significant consequence • 25%
Increased media scrutiny • 25%
Decreased approval ratings • 25%
Both • 25%
2028 Presidential Run • 25%
Neither • 25%
California Governor Run • 25%
Not run for any office • 25%
Run for U.S. President in 2028 • 25%
Run for another political office • 25%
Run for California Governor in 2026 • 25%
