Market
Outcome for Lt. Gen. Yeo In-hyung by end of 2025
3
South Korea•National Assembly•Yoon Suk Yeol•Yoon•Constitutional Court•People Power Party•Defense Security Command
Resolution / Starting Odds
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Official court documents and news reports
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Suspended After Impeachment Vote Over Martial Law Attempt
Dec 14, 2024, 08:13 AM
South Korea's National Assembly voted on Saturday, December 14, to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol following his short-lived attempt to impose martial law earlier this month. The impeachment motion passed with 204 votes in favor and 85 against, exceeding the required threshold in the 300-member legislature. The vote suspends Yoon from office pending a Constitutional Court review. Yoon's brief declaration of martial law on December 3 shocked the nation, split his own People Power Party, and plunged the country into political turmoil. Lawmakers from his own party joined the opposition in supporting the impeachment. Prosecutors have also arrested Lieutenant General Yeo In-hyung, chief of the Defense Security Command, in connection with the martial law declaration. The decision raises the prospect of months of caretaker rule as the court deliberates.
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Convicted • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Suspended • 25%
Not Suspended • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted but not imprisoned • 25%
Convicted and imprisoned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Impeached • 25%
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Remains President • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
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Formal Charges • 25%
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Military official • 25%
Current acting minister • 25%
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Political figure • 25%
An opposition party member • 25%
A member of the ruling party • 25%
Current Deputy Minister • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other • 25%
Successfully completes term • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
Other • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Charged with misconduct • 25%
Resigns from office • 25%