Market
Number of drones shot down by Bundeswehr over critical sites by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
Official Bundeswehr reports or credible news sources
Story
Germany's Bundeswehr Authorized to Shoot Down Drones Amid Suspected Russian Espionage
Jan 14, 2025, 07:40 PM
Germany's cabinet has approved a draft law allowing the country's armed forces, the Bundeswehr, to shoot down drones over military sites and critical infrastructure. This decision comes in response to a surge in suspicious drone activity, which authorities suspect may be linked to Russian espionage efforts. The new legislation aims to address the increasing challenge posed by drones, especially since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has heightened security concerns. The law requires parliamentary approval before it can be enacted.
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0-5 incidents • 25%
More than 15 incidents • 25%
11-15 incidents • 25%
6-10 incidents • 25%
11-15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
0-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Action • 25%
Increased Surveillance • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military-grade drone • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercial drone • 25%
Hobbyist drone • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
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Diplomatic action against Russia • 25%
Military Base • 25%
Power Plant • 25%
Industrial Facility • 25%
Other • 25%
Other foreign espionage confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russian espionage confirmed • 25%
Non-espionage related explanation • 25%