Market
Number of aftershocks (≥5.0 magnitude) in Vanuatu by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-2 aftershocks • 25%
3-5 aftershocks • 25%
6-8 aftershocks • 25%
More than 8 aftershocks • 25%
Data from geological agencies such as the US Geological Survey
Story
7.3-Magnitude Earthquake Hits Vanuatu; US Embassy Damaged, Tsunami Warnings Issued
Dec 17, 2024, 03:15 AM
A powerful magnitude 7.3 earthquake struck off the coast of Vanuatu on December 17, 2024, at a depth of 10 km, causing significant damage in the capital city of Port Vila. The earthquake, centered around 30 km west of Port Vila, led to the issuance of tsunami warnings, which were later lifted. Buildings, including those housing the US, French, and New Zealand embassies, sustained considerable damage, with the US Embassy closed until further notice. There are reports of casualties, with bodies seen in the streets following the collapse of bridges and landslides. Internet connectivity across Vanuatu was severely disrupted after the quake. The earthquake was followed by several aftershocks, including a magnitude 5.5 tremor.
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6.0 to 6.4 • 25%
Less than 6.0 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
6.5 to 6.9 • 25%
7.0 or higher • 25%
Less than 5.0 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
6.0 to 6.9 • 25%
More than $200 million • 25%
$100 million to $200 million • 25%
$50 million to $100 million • 25%
Less than $50 million • 25%
0-5 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Less than 4.0 • 25%
4.0 to 4.9 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
6.0 or higher • 25%
Other • 25%
Building Collapse • 25%
Tsunami • 25%
Aftershocks • 25%
Less than 4.0 • 25%
4.0 to 4.9 • 25%
5.0 to 5.9 • 25%
6.0 or higher • 25%
More than 800 • 25%
Less than 600 • 25%
600 to 700 • 25%
701 to 800 • 25%