Market
Next major black hole discovery by Webb telescope by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Another dormant black hole • 25%
Evidence of black hole merger • 25%
New type of black hole • 25%
Other significant discovery • 25%
Scientific publications and ESA announcements
Story
Cambridge Astronomers Detect Dormant Black Hole 400 Million Times the Sun's Mass in Early Universe Using ESA Webb
Dec 18, 2024, 04:44 PM
Astronomers from Cambridge University have detected a dormant black hole, approximately 400 million times the mass of the Sun, in the early universe. This discovery was made using the European Space Agency's Webb telescope. The finding indicates that black holes may undergo periods of rapid growth followed by long dormancy, challenging existing models of black hole development. The black hole's inactivity suggests that, similar to a post-feast nap, these cosmic entities can experience phases of gorging followed by extended periods of rest.
View original story
Similar markets
Black hole observation • 25%
Another young galaxy • 25%
Exoplanet atmosphere analysis • 25%
Other • 25%
New galaxy cluster discovery • 25%
Other • 25%
New insights into dark matter • 25%
Exoplanet atmospheric analysis • 25%
Other significant discovery • 25%
New insights into dark matter • 25%
Another distant galaxy • 25%
New exoplanet discovery • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Planetary system • 25%
Another binary star system • 25%
Unusual stellar activity • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint mapping of dark matter distribution • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint study of a distant quasar • 25%
Joint observation of galaxy collision • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%