Market
More successful orbital launches in Q1 2025: Blue Origin or SpaceX?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Blue Origin • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Tie • 25%
Neither • 25%
Launch records from Blue Origin and SpaceX, verified by space industry reports
Story
Blue Origin Scrubs First New Glenn Launch from Cape Canaveral Due to Subsystem Issue
Jan 13, 2025, 03:45 AM
Blue Origin's inaugural launch of its New Glenn rocket was scrubbed early Monday morning after multiple delays during the countdown. Scheduled to lift off from Launch Complex 36 at Cape Canaveral at 1:30 a.m. EST, the launch faced several setbacks and was ultimately scrubbed due to a subsystem issue. Spectators had gathered at Jetty Park, and Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos was present in mission control. The booster, named 'So You're Telling Me There's a Chance,' was set to land on the platform 'Jacklyn,' named after Bezos's mother. Despite the scrub, the company is expected to reschedule the launch, aiming to challenge SpaceX's dominance in the commercial space industry.
View original story
Similar markets
Neither • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
Both equally • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Two • 25%
Zero • 25%
One • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Launch postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
Failure (e.g., explosion or termination) • 25%
Partial success (e.g., suborbital flight) • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
Launch postponed or canceled • 25%
Launch failure after liftoff but before orbit • 25%
Successful launch and satellite deployment • 25%
Launch failure during ascent • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
11-15 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
16 or more • 25%
Other • 25%
Arianespace • 25%
OneWeb • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
Blue Origin • 25%
Other • 25%
United Launch Alliance • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%