Market
Lula public appearance by February 15, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
News reports or official government press releases confirming a public appearance
Story
Brazilian President Lula Shows Health Improvement After Scan at Sírio-Libanês Hospital on December 31, 2024
Dec 31, 2024, 02:46 PM
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva underwent a follow-up tomography scan at the Sírio-Libanês Hospital in Brasília on December 31, 2024. The scan was part of ongoing monitoring after a fall on October 19 that resulted in a brain hemorrhage. The medical bulletin released after the examination indicated significant reabsorption of the subdural collection, showing progressive improvement consistent with the president's excellent health condition. Lula continues to be monitored by a medical team led by Dr. Roberto Kalil Filho and Dr. Ana Helena Germoglio.
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In-person Speech • 25%
Virtual Appearance • 25%
Pre-recorded Message • 25%
No Appearance • 25%
No public appearances • 25%
Public appearances resume • 25%
Limited public activities • 25%
Virtual appearances only • 25%
International summit • 25%
State visit • 25%
National address • 25%
Cultural event • 25%
Public event in Brazil • 25%
Speech in Brazil • 25%
International visit • 25%
Other • 25%
No change in schedule • 25%
No appearances • 25%
Significantly reduced appearances • 25%
Reduced public appearances • 25%