Market
Italy acknowledges or denies support to Assad by March 31, 2025?
4
Italian•Aleppo•Hussam Luqa•Syria•General Security Branch•Giovanni Cavarelli•Italy•Foreign Intelligence Service•AISE•Assad•Russian•Christian•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Italian government or intelligence agencies, verified news reports
Story
Italian Intelligence Offered Support to Assad on December 5 After Aleppo's Fall and Christian School Airstrike
Dec 14, 2024, 07:36 PM
Recent revelations indicate that Italian intelligence offered support to Bashar al-Assad's regime shortly after the fall of Aleppo to opposition forces. A cable dated December 5, sent from Hussam Luqa, the head of Syria's General Security Branch, detailed a phone conversation with Giovanni Cavarelli, the head of Italy's Foreign Intelligence Service (AISE), in which support was extended to Assad. This offer came just four days after a Russian airstrike targeted a Christian school in Aleppo, raising concerns about the implications of Italy's involvement amid ongoing violence in the region. The situation has drawn attention as Christian schools in Syria have been bombed by Syrian and Russian aircraft, highlighting the precarious conditions faced by civilians amidst the conflict.
View original story
Similar markets
Russia • 25%
None by the deadline • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt provides assistance • 25%
UAE provides assistance • 25%
Jordan provides assistance • 25%
No assistance provided • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. supports Assad • 25%
U.S. rejects offer • 25%
Support from multiple countries • 25%
Support from Israel only • 25%
No support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cut ties completely • 25%
Maintain current ties • 25%
Strengthen ties • 25%
Reduce ties significantly • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey • 25%